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Socio-Economic Impact Assessment of Intelligent Transport Systems

查看全文 作  者:[1]隽志才;[2]吴建平;Mike [2]McDonald 高影响力作者 机构地区:[1]Institute of Transportation Studies, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200052, China;[2]Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK高影响力机构 出  处:《Tsinghua Science and Technology》索引2006年第11卷第3期,共12页高影响力期刊 基  金:SupportedbytheNationalNaturalScienceFoundationofChina(No.50378042)andtheEngineeringandPhysicalScienceResearchCouncilintheUK(No.GR/M99811) 摘  要:A general review of the socio-economic impact of the intelligent transport system (ITS) is pre-sented with a case study to demonstrate the data envelopment analysis method. Cost-benefit analyses are still the dominant method for evaluating ITS and other transport engineering projects, while cost effective analyses and multi-criteria appraisals are widely used to define and prioritize objectives by providing useful information for the most promising policy decisions. Both cost-benefit analyses and a data envelopment analysis method are applied to analyze the socio-economic impact of convoy driving systems. The main findings are that a convoy provides a worthwhile benefit-cost ratio when more than 30% of the traffics in the convoys and the traffic load exceeds 5500 vehicles/h for a three-lane motorway. The results also show that for a fixed percentage of convoys, increased demand will increase the data envelopment analysis method relative efficiency and that the neglect of certain output indicators of an ITS may result in underestimation of the system effects. 关 键 词:效果鉴定器 智能交通系统 成本效益分析 数据包络分析
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