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FREQUENTIST MODEL AVERAGING ESTIMATION:A REVIEW

查看全文 作  者:Haiying WANG Xinyu ZHANG Guohua ZOU Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China. 高影响力作者 出  处:《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》索引2009年第22卷第4期,共17页高影响力期刊 基  金:supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos. 70625004, 10721101, and 70221001 摘  要:In applications, the traditional estimation procedure generally begins with model selection.Once a specific model is selected, subsequent estimation is conducted under the selected model withoutconsideration of the uncertainty from the selection process. This often leads to the underreportingof variability and too optimistic confidence sets. Model averaging estimation is an alternative to thisprocedure, which incorporates model uncertainty into the estimation process. In recent years, therehas been a rising interest in model averaging from the frequentist perspective, and some importantprogresses have been made. In this paper, the theory and methods on frequentist model averagingestimation are surveyed. Some future research topics are also discussed. 关 键 词:估计模型 T模型 平均 展望 不确定性 模型选择 t模型 程序
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