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Decadal variation of different durations of continuous Meiyu precipitation and the possible cause

查看全文 作  者:HUANG DanQing ZHU Jian KUANG [1]XueYuan 高影响力作者 机构地区:[1]School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China高影响力机构 出  处:《Chinese Science Bulletin》索引2011年第56卷第4期,共8页高影响力期刊 基  金:supported by the National Department Public Benefic Research Foundation (GYHY200906015);the National Key Technology R&D Program (2009BAC51B03);the National Natural Science Foundation of China (40901016 and 40805041) 摘  要:The features of the decadal evolution of different durations of continuous Meiyu precipitation and their possible cause from the viewpoint of the low-level intraseasonal oscillation(ISO) are examined in this study. It is found that the total frequency of Meiyu precipitation events of certain duration gradually decreases as the duration of the events increases,and the main center of the events moves from the northern Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley(YHRV) to the southern YHRV. The linear trends of different durations of continuous Meiyu precipitation indicate that longer-duration precipitation has become significantly less frequent since 2000,while 2-day and 3-4-day continuous precipitation processes have become more frequent. At the same time,a close relationship between the variation in the low-level ISO and the decadal evolution of frequency of longer-duration Meiyu precipitation is detected. Clearly,since 2000,the low-level ISO has significantly decreased,and a single peak of longer-duration events has been replaced by several peaks of shorter-duration events,which has resulted in a significant decrease in the frequency of longer-duration precipitation. Meanwhile,low-level baroclinicity increased(decreased) during each period,which is in accordance with the increasing(decreasing) frequency of longer-duration precipitation. It is confirmed that longer-duration precipitation has significantly decreased in recent years. 关 键 词:年代际变化 持续时间 梅雨降水 降水事件 原因 国际标准组织 频率检测 季节内振荡
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