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Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in Nepal

查看全文 作  者:Thapa Dilli [1]Ram;Wang [1]Guoxin 高影响力作者 机构地区:[1]State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering,Dalian University of Technology高影响力机构 出  处:《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》索引2013年第12卷第4期,共10页高影响力期刊 基  金:National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.51121005 and Grant No.51378092 摘  要:The seismic ground motion hazard for Nepal has been estimated using a probabilistic approach.A catalogue of earthquakes has been compiled for Nepal and the surrounding region(latitude 26°N and 31.7°N and longitude 79°E and 90°E)from 1255 to 2011.The distribution of catalogued earthquakes,together with available geological and tectonic information were used to delineate twenty-three seismic source zones in Nepal and the surrounding region.By using the seismic source information and probabilistic earthquake hazard parameters in conjunction with a selected ground motion prediction relationship,peak ground accelerations(PGAs)have been calculated at bedrock level with 63%,10%,and 2%probability of exceedance in 50 years.The estimated PGA values are in the range of 0.07–0.16 g,0.21–0.62 g,and 0.38–1.1 g for 63%,10%,and 2%probability of exceedance in 50 years,respectively.The resulting ground motion maps show different characteristics of PGA distribution,i.e.,high hazard in the far-western and eastern sections,and low hazard in southern Nepal.The quantified PGA values at bedrock level provide information for microzonation studies in different parts of the country. 关 键 词:概率地震危险性分析 尼泊尔 地震地面运动 构造信息 周边地区 危险性预测 峰值加速度 PGA
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