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Development of a least squares support vector machine model for prediction of natural gas hydrate formation temperature

查看全文 作  者:Mohammad [1]Mesbah;Ebrahim [2]Soroush;Mashallah [3]Rezakazemi 高影响力作者 机构地区:[1]Young Researchers and Elites Club, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University;[2]Young Researchers and Elites Club, Ahvaz Branch, Islamic Azad University;[3]Department of Chemical Engineering, Shahrood University of Technology高影响力机构 出  处:《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》索引2017年第25卷第9期,共11页高影响力期刊 摘  要:Hydrates always are considered as a threat to petroleum industry due to the operational problems it can cause.These problems could result in reducing production performance or even production stoppage for a long time.In this paper, we were intended to develop a LSSVM algorithm for prognosticating hydrate formation temperature(HFT) in a wide range of natural gas mixtures. A total number of 279 experimental data points were extracted from open literature to develop the LSSVM. The input parameters were chosen based on the hydrate structure that each gas species form. The modeling resulted in a robust algorithm with the squared correlation coefficients(R^2) of 0.9918. Aside from the excellent statistical parameters of the model, comparing proposed LSSVM with some of conventional correlations showed its supremacy, particularly in the case of sour gases with high H_2S concentrations, where the model surpasses all correlations and existing thermodynamic models. For detection of the probable doubtful experimental data, and applicability of the model, the Leverage statistical approach was performed on the data sets. This algorithm showed that the proposed LSSVM model is statistically valid for HFT prediction and almost all the data points are in the applicability domain of the model. 关 键 词:Hydrate formation temperature(HFT) Natural gas Sour gases Least squares support vector machine Outlier diagnostics Leverage approach
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