Research on the threshold effect of population aging on the industrial structure upgrading in China

查看全文 作　　者：Chengkun [1]Liu;Shuyu [1]Li;Xindong [1]Zhao

机构地区：[1]School of Economics and Finanee, Huaqiao University, Quanzhou, China

出　　处：《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》索引2019年第17卷第1期,共14页

基　　金：This study is supported by funds of National Natural Science Foundation of China’s project “China’s population aging process and labor productivity: inspection, forecasting and policy options”[Grant number: 71573093];National Natural Science Foundation of China’s project [Grant number:71573093]. 摘　　要：This paper constructs coefficients of the integral and the internal structure upgrading in the secondary and tertiary industries, selects per capita real gross domestic product as a threshold variable and build panel threshold model according to inter-provincial panel data of China from 1998 to 2016. Results indicated that population aging has a double threshold effect on the integral industrial structure upgrading, whose influence increases first and then decreases, significantly promoting the upgrading process. As for internal structure, population aging has no significant threshold effect on the upgrading in the secondary industry, but exerts a single negative threshold effect in the tertiary industry. When economic development is under the threshold, its negative impact is greater. Further analysis also suggests that regional differences exist significantly in the threshold effect of population aging on the industrial structure upgrading. 关键词：POPULATION AGING INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE UPGRADING THRESHOLD effect

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Research on the threshold effect of population aging on the industrial structure upgrading in China

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耦合文献(168)

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